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Post by Pleonast on Jul 23, 2008 11:49:49 GMT -8
Comments...
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Post by Pleonast on Jul 23, 2008 12:56:09 GMT -8
Well, the Town has found that things aren't quite as they expected. I think they'll be able to figure out the faction distribution, though.
I wonder if Nanook will even try to explain the discrepancy.
From the secret discussion boards, the Wolves considering to use their secret all-block power. And the Cabal is thinking about using their kill on Koldanar. (Witches can't do anything except strategize.) If they both do that, things will be truly interesting at Dawn. And the Cabal will be in a position to win.
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Post by hoopyfrood on Jul 23, 2008 14:56:07 GMT -8
Do they give reasons why they are so suspicious of Koldanar over anyone else?
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Post by Pleonast on Jul 23, 2008 18:16:29 GMT -8
They think he is a Witch candidate. Which isn't too far off, considering that he is a Night investigator. It looks like they'll definitely kill ToNight, but they're putting some thought into who.
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Post by hoopyfrood on Jul 24, 2008 7:46:59 GMT -8
Now would be a terrific time for MHaye to reveal himself. It's not going to happen, because he doesn't know what we know, but it would be a huge boon to town and a big pile of hurt to the cabal should they take him out. (And why wouldn't they take him out. What are the odds of two witches being down without anyone knowing they are witches?)
And I find it amusing that no one realizes that the vig not only killed night one but is dead as well, from a mod kill, which means no one got to see the extra death that likely would have happened that night (since I can't see anyone blocking/protecting Redwing even if he hadn't been mod-killed). It'll be interesting to see what changes in peoples views when they realize their vig is dead and did indeed kill. (I know some people have suggested the vig killing, but they don't have any supporting evidence yet.)
Really, Redwing's night one action was the single biggest bad strategy town has used this game. It cost town two very useful roles.
MHaye is making a mistake by not coming out, but it's not bad strategy for him to be waiting until tomorrow, it's just the wrong strategy in this case.
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Post by Pleonast on Jul 24, 2008 8:14:15 GMT -8
Yeah, the Vig role was poorly played, but that's how it goes. Teams can't expect every member to play perfectly.
I believe MHaye plans to claim a minute before Dawn. So he'll predict my reveal with little enough time for scum to adjust their targets.
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Post by Pleonast on Jul 24, 2008 9:46:14 GMT -8
Wolves decide CIAS is too much a threat, and opt for the kill.
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Post by hoopyfrood on Jul 24, 2008 10:13:00 GMT -8
I love reading people's analyses.
storyteller
*Ding* *Ding* *Ding* And one of them's the Omega. Who's as good as exposed once she's outed as a "mason". Unfortunately, that knowledge will probably go to the seer's grave, unless the Cabal changes their collective mind.
Score another point.
True on the witches, but you're barking up the understandably wrong tree. You had a wise secret doctor protecting you, the intended target.
Actually, this I don't know.
Pleo, how have the wolves managed to take out two witches in a short amount of time? I mean, HM kind of gave herself away back when Nanook came out, but since no one targeted her the first night, I figured she was safe and no one noticed. And, why Roosh?
And this type of analysis is what I've been waiting on from story for a while now. Really, he and CIAS together are a formidable anti-scum force. Too bad they seem to never get along....
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Post by hoopyfrood on Jul 24, 2008 10:16:13 GMT -8
Wolves decide CIAS is too much a threat, and opt for the kill. They should have done that earlier. Too bad for them it's only temporary. It should put to rest some of the suspicions on him, though. |
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Post by Pleonast on Jul 24, 2008 10:56:55 GMT -8
Pleo, how have the wolves managed to take out two witches in a short amount of time? I mean, HM kind of gave herself away back when Nanook came out, but since no one targeted her the first night, I figured she was safe and no one noticed. And, why Roosh? They've been doing their homework. Of course they don't know of their success yet. They picked RoOsh because he was playing too low key compared to his usual style. And they picked Hockey because of the her quick suspicion of Nanook's claim and call for no one except the Witches to protect him. |
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Post by hoopyfrood on Jul 25, 2008 9:09:54 GMT -8
So cabal decides on Fluiddruid.
Bad move. This is a huge break for town. Not only is their seer coming out with a lot of info, but Cabal have spent their one-shot special on a wolf rather than a dangerous town role. Town gets a bonus night kill in their favor, and their most useful role right now gets to claim toMorrow.
Is it because she was playing largely under the radar as well that they looked at Fluiddruid?
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Post by Pleonast on Jul 25, 2008 9:51:18 GMT -8
Yep, they're thinking she's too good and has been too quiet. And note that NAF is going after a Wolf, too. Cross-kills galore! Town isn't looking so bad off now.
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