Turn Four Actions

[Pleonast]

Game State

6 Good vs 3 Evil

Items in the Hoard:
Rod of Disintegration (unstealable)
Amulet of Magic Resistance (0)
Amulet of Reflection (3)
Gauntlets of Ogre Power (1)
Helm of Empathy (5)
Ring of Invisibility (1)
Ring of Limited Wishes (0)
Shield of Adamantium (-)
Wand of Holding (1)

01. Lawful Good Elf Magic-User Hawkeyeop with nothing
Cursed

03. Chaotic Evil Human Thief Darth Sensitive with Staff of Command (2)

05. Lawful Good Human Bard MHaye with Bracers of Defense (4) and Orb of Healing (1)

06. Chaotic Good Dwarf Paladin Zsofia with Rod of Telekinesis (3)

09. Lawful Good Halfling or Gnome Magic-User ShadowFacts with nothing

10. Lawful Evil Elf Monk sinjin with Potion of Speed (1)
Chi'd

12. Lawful Evil Elf Cleric Chucara with nothing

14. Lawful Good Half-Elf Cleric sachertorte with Sword of Dancing (2)

15. Lawful Good Half-Elf Assassin Boozahol Squid, P.I. with Cloak of Elvenkind (4)

[Pleonast]

Booze: watch Zsofia
ShadowFacts: detect magic on Zsofia
Zsofia: put item into Hoard
sinjin: Use Potion of Speed, Action 1: Physically speed myself up, Action 1a: Steal Helm of Empathy from Hoard, Action 1b: Steal Helm of Empathy from the Hoard, Action 1c: Steal Helm of Empathy from the Hoard, Action 2: Place Potion of Speed in Hoard.
sachertorte: divine Zsofia
Hawkeye: watch Booze
MHaye: cure Hawkeye with Orb
Evil: curse ShadowFacts

[Pleonast]

sachertorte said

Turn Four Action
Wow. I almost forgot to put in an action. This lack of Night thing has almost gotten me twice.

I'm debating whether or not to try and Cure Hawkeyeop or not.

My forecast:
Turn Four - 9 players: 2 investigated scum

If I don't save Hawkeyeop:
Turn Five - 7 players: 1 investigated scum

Scum will likely zap Squid:
Turn Six - 5 players: 0 investigated scum + E(one investigation) Leaving, ShadowFacts, Me, sinjin, Zsofia, and MHaye

If I do save Hawkeyeop (which isn't guaranteed)
Turn Five - 8 players: 1 investigated scum

Turn Six - 6 players: 0 investigated scum + E(0.5 investigations) Leaving Hawkeyeop, ShadowFacts, Me, sinjin, Zsofia, and MHaye

If I try to save Hawkeyeop but fail:
Turn Five - 7 players: 1 investigated scum

Turn Six - 5 players: 0 investigated scum + E(0.5 investigations) Leaving ShadowFacts, Me, sinjin, Zsofia, and MHaye.

Crap. I don't know what to do. It would be much easier if Hawkeyeop was Human. I've been wanting to use my cure on a Human to maximize effectiveness. But it looks like MHaye is the only Human left that is a viable option to cure.

But Hawkeyeop was investigated by ShadowFacts. And indicators point to ShadowFacts being trustworthy. Also, I think that I should not have the cure ability near the endgame. I think Evil will try a fake curse closer to the end, and I don't want to give greater credence to Good status than I would like.

I will Cure Hawkeyeop.

Turn Four Action v2.0
I just remembered that the Amulet of Reflection and the Helm of Empathy are in the Hoard this turn. To me it seems like now is a better time to use my investigation and save the Cure for later when my investigation cannot be trusted to confirm Good. Though, I have my doubts whether Evil will try and pick stuff up or not.

I will investigate Zsofia.

[Pleonast]

Items in the Hoard:
Rod of Disintegration (unstealable)
Amulet of Magic Resistance (0)
Amulet of Reflection (3)
Gauntlets of Ogre Power (1)
Helm of Empathy (5)
Ring of Invisibility (1)
Ring of Limited Wishes (0)
Shield of Adamantium (-)
Wand of Holding (1)

Potion of Speed (1)
Rod of Telekinesis (3)
Staff of Command (2)

Public:
Lawful Good Elf Magic-User Hawkeyeop with no items has died due to the Curse.
Chaotic Evil Human Thief Darth Sensitive with Staff of Command is Disintegrated.
Lawful Evil Elf Cleric Chucara with no items has been Disintegrated.

Potion of Speed, Rod of Telekinesis, and Staff of Command are added to the Hoard.
The Helm of Empathy is stolen from the Hoard.

Evil: curse ShadowFacts

01. Lawful Good Elf Magic-User Hawkeyeop with nothing
Cursed
Even chance to die. roll = 1
Even chance to see Booze do physical action on Zsofia. roll = 4
You die due to the Curse. You still have a chance to win.

03. Chaotic Evil Human Thief Darth Sensitive with Staff of Command (2)
You have been Disintegrated. You can no longer fulfill you victory conditions. Sorry.

05. Lawful Good Human Bard MHaye with Bracers of Defense (4) and Orb of Healing (1)
cure Hawkeye with Orb
Orb: 1 -> 0 charge

06. Chaotic Good Dwarf Paladin Zsofia with Rod of Telekinesis (3)
put item into Hoard.
watched by Booze.
You no longer have the Rod of Telekinesis.

09. Lawful Good Halfling or Gnome Magic-User ShadowFacts with nothing
High chance to detect 1 magic item on Zsofia. roll = 3
You detect 1 magic item on Zsofia.
You have been Cursed. You have a high chance of dying before you can act next Turn.

10. Lawful Evil Elf Monk sinjin with Potion of Speed (1)
Chi'd
Use Potion of Speed, Action 1: Physically speed myself up, Action 1a: Steal Helm of Empathy from Hoard, Action 1b: Steal Helm of Empathy from the Hoard, Action 1c: Steal Helm of Empathy from the Hoard, Action 2: Place Potion of Speed in Hoard.
Potion: 1 -> 0 charge.
Even chance to steal Helm of Empathy. roll = 6
Low chance to steal Helm of Empathy. roll = 2
Low chance to steal Helm of Empathy. roll = 1
You have the Helm of Empathy (got it on the third attempt).
You no longer have the Potion of Speed.

12. Lawful Evil Elf Cleric Chucara with nothing
You have been Disintegrated. You still have a chance to win.

14. Lawful Good Half-Elf Cleric sachertorte with Sword of Dancing (2)
Even chance to detect Good on Zsofia. roll = 4
You fail to divine Zsofia's alignment.

15. Lawful Good Half-Elf Assassin Boozahol Squid, P.I. with Cloak of Elvenkind (4)
watched by Hawkeyeop
watch Zsofia with even chance to see do physical action on Hoard. roll = 2
even chance to see sachertorte use magic action on Zsofia. roll = 1
even chance to see ShadowFacts use magic action on Zsofia. roll = 2
You see Zsofia successfully perform a physical action on the Hoard.
You see sachertorte fail to perform a magical action on Zsofia.
You see ShadowFacts successfully perform a magical action on Zsofia.